Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | FAMU +225 TXSO -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +3 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | TXSO -3.7 (+0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.8 (+18.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -4.0 (+1.0) | 137.2 (+15.8) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -4.2 (+1.2) | 135.4 (+17.6) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -3.5 (+0.5) | 135.2 (+17.8) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -4.4 (+1.4) | 138.2 (+14.8) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | TXSO 62 – 57 FAMU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | FAMU 66 – 64 TXSO |
| Feb 4, 2023 | FAMU 76 – 69 TXSO |
| Feb 5, 2022 | TXSO 67 – 55 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAMU | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-23 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 12-6 |
| Home | 4-8 | 7-4 |
| Away | 2-15 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 71.1 |
| Massey | -13.8 (#344) | -6.7 (#286) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.23 (#338) | -0.78 (#251) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.11 (#347) | -1.24 (#279) |
| RPI | 0.412 (#320) | 0.469 (#230) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAMU | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 38.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 43.6% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.3% | 29.4% |
Game Analysis
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