Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +12 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | TXSO -5.9 (-6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.7 (-7.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -5.4 (-6.6) | 132.6 (-10.6) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -4.5 (-7.5) | 133.7 (-11.7) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -3.7 (-8.3) | 133.8 (-11.8) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -4.6 (-7.4) | 134.2 (-12.2) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | TXSO 62 – 57 FAMU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | FAMU 66 – 64 TXSO |
| Feb 10, 2024 | TXSO 78 – 75 FAMU |
| Feb 4, 2023 | FAMU 76 – 69 TXSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAMU | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-17 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 13-5 |
| Home | 8-4 | 7-2 |
| Away | 5-12 | 8-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.6 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 66.1 |
| Massey | -8.4 (#305) | 0.6 (#152) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.26 (#274) | -0.54 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.97 (#300) | -0.37 (#200) |
| RPI | 0.444 (#270) | 0.474 (#212) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAMU | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.0% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 39.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.8% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 35.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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