Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | IU -170 WIS +142 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IU +1 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | IU -5.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.2 (-5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IU -4.1 (-3.1) | 156.1 (-1.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IU -4.9 (-3.9) | 156.8 (-1.8) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IU -4.1 (-3.1) | 153.7 (+1.3) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IU -4.3 (-3.3) | 156.0 (-1.0) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2025 | WIS 76 – 64 IU |
| Feb 28, 2024 | IU 74 – 70 WIS |
| Jan 20, 2024 | WIS 91 – 79 IU |
| Jan 14, 2023 | IU 63 – 45 WIS |
| Feb 16, 2022 | WIS 74 – 69 IU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IU | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 14-6 |
| Home | 14-4 | 15-2 |
| Away | 3-8 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 83.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 76.1 |
| Massey | 15.8 (#32) | 13.2 (#42) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.18 (#43) | 2.47 (#36) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.62 (#51) | 3.03 (#41) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#53) | 0.585 (#49) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IU | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.70 | 1.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 13.7% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.7% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.2% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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