Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IU +18 | 108 | Won |
| Massey | IU -8.2 (+9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.5 (-28.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IU -4.7 (+13.3) | 139.0 (-31.0) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IU -5.0 (+13.0) | 134.3 (-26.3) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IU -4.3 (+13.7) | 138.9 (-30.9) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IU -4.7 (+13.3) | 139.6 (-31.6) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | IU 78 – 77 WIS |
| Feb 5, 2025 | WIS 76 – 64 IU |
| Feb 28, 2024 | IU 74 – 70 WIS |
| Jan 20, 2024 | WIS 91 – 79 IU |
| Feb 16, 2022 | WIS 74 – 69 IU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IU | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 9-11 |
| Home | 15-2 | 11-6 |
| Away | 5-7 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 63.6 |
| Massey | 11.5 (#29) | 7.4 (#74) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.52 (#57) | 2.30 (#26) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.06 (#54) | 2.72 (#32) |
| RPI | 0.555 (#77) | 0.597 (#36) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IU | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.6% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.5% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 21.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 17.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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