Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +5 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | IU -3.0 (-8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.6 (+11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IU -2.4 (-7.4) | 135.6 (+7.4) | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IU -2.4 (-7.4) | 134.0 (+9.0) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IU -2.7 (-7.7) | 133.2 (+9.8) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IU -2.9 (-7.9) | 134.3 (+8.7) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | IU 78 – 77 WIS |
| Feb 5, 2025 | WIS 76 – 64 IU |
| Feb 28, 2024 | IU 74 – 70 WIS |
| Jan 20, 2024 | WIS 91 – 79 IU |
| Jan 14, 2023 | IU 63 – 45 WIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IU | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 25-8 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 15-5 |
| Home | 14-4 | 12-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 9-2 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 66.0 |
| Massey | 11.1 (#36) | 11.1 (#37) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.79 (#58) | 3.16 (#9) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.28 (#48) | 3.53 (#14) |
| RPI | 0.566 (#60) | 0.627 (#11) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IU | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 12.5% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.7% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 75.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
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