Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | WIS -425 IU +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +12 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -10.5 (+1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.8 (-13.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -11.8 (+0.2) | 152.4 (-12.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -11.0 (+1.0) | 152.4 (-12.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -10.6 (+1.4) | 152.0 (-12.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -11.2 (+0.8) | 152.8 (-12.8) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | IU 78 – 77 WIS |
| Feb 28, 2024 | IU 74 – 70 WIS |
| Jan 20, 2024 | WIS 91 – 79 IU |
| Jan 14, 2023 | IU 63 – 45 WIS |
| Feb 16, 2022 | WIS 74 – 69 IU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | IU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-10 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 10-10 |
| Home | 14-3 | 14-4 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.1 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 17.3 (#18) | 10.1 (#59) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.88 (#19) | 1.80 (#55) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.93 (#14) | 2.30 (#54) |
| RPI | 0.628 (#17) | 0.583 (#50) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | IU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 30.3% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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