Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | IU +155 WIS -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IU +4 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -5.5 (+9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (-0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -4.2 (+8.2) | 144.4 (-0.4) | 34% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -4.9 (+8.9) | 141.5 (+2.5) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -3.4 (+7.4) | 144.8 (-0.8) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -3.3 (+7.3) | 145.0 (-1.0) | 37% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | IU 78 – 77 WIS |
| Feb 5, 2025 | WIS 76 – 64 IU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | WIS 91 – 79 IU |
| Jan 14, 2023 | IU 63 – 45 WIS |
| Feb 16, 2022 | WIS 74 – 69 IU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IU | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 11-9 |
| Home | 12-5 | 14-3 |
| Away | 4-6 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 70.0 |
| Massey | 4.4 (#110) | 13.2 (#26) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.16 (#90) | 2.12 (#28) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.43 (#93) | 2.77 (#23) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#106) | 0.604 (#22) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IU | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 76.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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