Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | WIS -1000 IU +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +12 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -14.5 (-2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.1 (+24.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -12.0 (+0.0) | 142.8 (+27.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -12.0 (-0.0) | 144.0 (+26.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -11.8 (+0.2) | 143.3 (+26.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -12.4 (-0.4) | 144.7 (+25.3) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | IU 78 – 77 WIS |
| Feb 5, 2025 | WIS 76 – 64 IU |
| Feb 28, 2024 | IU 74 – 70 WIS |
| Jan 14, 2023 | IU 63 – 45 WIS |
| Feb 16, 2022 | WIS 74 – 69 IU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | IU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 10-10 |
| Home | 14-3 | 12-5 |
| Away | 3-9 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 14.6 (#20) | 3.8 (#111) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.47 (#19) | 1.60 (#62) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.27 (#14) | 1.93 (#70) |
| RPI | 0.640 (#11) | 0.580 (#53) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | IU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 78.1% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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