Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Under |
| Money | WKU -198 FIU +164 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +10 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | WKU -4.0 (+6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.0 (-11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WKU -4.0 (+6.0) | 154.8 (-4.8) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WKU -3.0 (+7.0) | 146.8 (+3.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WKU -2.9 (+7.1) | 149.6 (+0.4) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WKU -3.4 (+6.6) | 153.5 (-3.5) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | FIU 92 – 67 WKU |
| Mar 12, 2025 | FIU 64 – 61 WKU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | WKU 76 – 67 FIU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | FIU 85 – 66 WKU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | FIU 85 – 83 WKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WKU | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 8-12 |
| Home | 12-4 | 12-6 |
| Away | 5-7 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.9 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 79.1 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#169) | -1.1 (#186) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#184) | -0.57 (#215) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#181) | -0.63 (#212) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#160) | 0.492 (#202) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WKU | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.8% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.9 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.0% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 28.4% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 64.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.8% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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