Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | FIU +170 WKU -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FIU +19 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | WKU -2.6 (+21.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.5 (+1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WKU -2.9 (+21.9) | 145.7 (+5.3) | 38% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WKU -4.6 (+23.6) | 149.8 (+1.2) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WKU -2.8 (+21.8) | 151.0 (-0.0) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WKU -3.0 (+22.0) | 145.9 (+5.1) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | FIU 92 – 67 WKU |
| Feb 7, 2026 | WKU 80 – 70 FIU |
| Mar 12, 2025 | FIU 64 – 61 WKU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | WKU 76 – 67 FIU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | FIU 85 – 83 WKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FIU | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-23 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 8-10 |
| Home | 7-8 | 13-5 |
| Away | 1-13 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 74.8 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#238) | 2.6 (#121) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.77 (#314) | 1.32 (#77) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.20 (#306) | 1.38 (#94) |
| RPI | 0.393 (#341) | 0.558 (#82) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FIU | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 29.7% |
Game Analysis
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