In North Carolina way back in the hills, there lived my pappy and he had him a still. "White Lightning" - The Big Bopper
Conference USA · Ocean Bank Convocation Center · January 4, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread WKU -4.5 Home covered
O/U 154.5 Under
Money FIU +170 / WKU -200
Model Predictions
Spread Total FIU win
Actual FIU +19 151 Won
Massey WKU -2.6 (+21.6)
Massey Totals 149.5 (+1.5)
Bradley-Terry 9%
Weighted B-T 6%
Baseline Plus ML WKU -2.8 (+21.8) 151.0 (-0.0) 43%
Model 4 ML WKU -4.6 (+23.6) 149.8 (+1.2) 40%
Model 3 ML WKU -2.9 (+21.9) 145.7 (+5.3) 38%
Baseline ML WKU -3.0 (+22.0) 145.9 (+5.1) 46%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 7, 2026 FIU 9267 WKU
Feb 7, 2026 WKU 8070 FIU
Mar 12, 2025 FIU 6461 WKU
Mar 7, 2025 WKU 7667 FIU
Mar 2, 2024 FIU 8583 WKU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings FIU WKU
Overall 10-23 17-15
Conference 3-15 8-10
Home 7-8 13-5
Away 1-13 4-9
Neutral 2-2 0-1
Last 5 3-2 4-1
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 67.9 73.3
Avg Pts Against 73.0 74.8
Massey -4.2 (#238) 2.6 (#121)
Bradley-Terry -1.77 (#314) 1.32 (#77)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.20 (#306) 1.38 (#94)
RPI 0.393 (#341) 0.558 (#82)
Shooting & Four Factors FIU WKU
FG% 43.9% 43.2%
3PT% 31.1% 33.2%
REB / G 34.2 39.5
OREB / G 10.2 8.8
AST / TO 1.00 0.86
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.6% 49.4%
TOV% 18.6% 16.7%
ORB% 28.8% 22.6%
FT Rate 24.7% 25.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.0% 46.0%
Opp TOV% 20.7% 17.5%
DRB% 70.4% 73.5%
Opp FT Rate 27.8% 29.7%

Game Analysis

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