Four young chiquitas in Omaha waitin' for the band to return from the show. "We're an American Band" - Grand Funk Railroad
Conference USA · Ocean Bank Convocation Center · March 7, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread WKU -1.5 Home covered
O/U 160.5 Under
Money FIU -112 / WKU -108
Model Predictions
Spread Total FIU win
Actual FIU +25 159 Won
Massey WKU -1.1 (+26.1)
Massey Totals 161.6 (-2.6)
Bradley-Terry 42%
Weighted B-T 44%
Baseline Plus ML WKU -0.3 (+25.3) 157.5 (+1.5) 45%
Model 4 ML WKU -0.6 (+25.6) 157.2 (+1.8) 45%
Model 3 ML WKU -0.3 (+25.3) 156.2 (+2.8) 48%
Baseline ML WKU -1.1 (+26.1) 157.2 (+1.8) 45%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 WKU 8070 FIU
Mar 12, 2025 FIU 6461 WKU
Mar 7, 2025 WKU 7667 FIU
Jan 4, 2025 FIU 8566 WKU
Mar 2, 2024 FIU 8583 WKU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings FIU WKU
Overall 15-17 18-14
Conference 8-12 11-9
Home 12-6 12-4
Away 3-10 5-7
Neutral 0-1 1-3
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Streak L1 L3
Avg Pts For 77.7 77.9
Avg Pts Against 79.1 77.0
Massey -2.3 (#205) 1.8 (#137)
Bradley-Terry -0.62 (#231) 0.22 (#147)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.61 (#223) 0.19 (#149)
RPI 0.482 (#225) 0.527 (#120)
Shooting & Four Factors FIU WKU
FG% 44.5% 41.0%
3PT% 34.8% 32.9%
REB / G 35.7 38.9
OREB / G 12.3 12.8
AST / TO 1.07 1.28
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.2% 47.4%
TOV% 17.7% 14.3%
ORB% 33.1% 32.2%
FT Rate 27.2% 30.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.9% 50.7%
Opp TOV% 20.2% 17.4%
DRB% 64.3% 71.2%
Opp FT Rate 25.0% 32.5%

Game Analysis

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