Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Under |
| Money | FIU -112 WKU -108 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FIU +25 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | WKU -1.1 (+26.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.6 (-2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WKU -0.3 (+25.3) | 156.2 (+2.8) | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WKU -0.6 (+25.6) | 157.2 (+1.8) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WKU -0.3 (+25.3) | 157.5 (+1.5) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WKU -1.1 (+26.1) | 157.2 (+1.8) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | WKU 80 – 70 FIU |
| Mar 12, 2025 | FIU 64 – 61 WKU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | WKU 76 – 67 FIU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | FIU 85 – 66 WKU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | FIU 85 – 83 WKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FIU | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 11-9 |
| Home | 12-6 | 12-4 |
| Away | 3-10 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 77.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 77.0 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#205) | 1.8 (#137) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.62 (#231) | 0.22 (#147) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#223) | 0.19 (#149) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#225) | 0.527 (#120) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FIU | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 30.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 64.3% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 32.5% |
Game Analysis
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