And I'm so pilled up that I rattle. "Revolution Rock" - The Clash
Conference USA · Propst Arena (Neutral) · March 12, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread WKU -4.5 Away covered
O/U 144.5 Under
Money WKU -195 / FIU +165
Model Predictions
Spread Total WKU win
Actual FIU +3 125 Lost
Massey WKU -5.7 (-8.7)
Massey Totals 144.8 (-19.8)
Bradley-Terry 85%
Weighted B-T 84%
Baseline Plus ML WKU -5.5 (-8.5) 140.4 (-15.4) 70%
Model 4 ML WKU -6.2 (-9.2) 139.0 (-14.0) 76%
Model 3 ML WKU -5.7 (-8.7) 137.8 (-12.8) 74%
Baseline ML WKU -5.2 (-8.2) 138.1 (-13.1) 71%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 7, 2026 FIU 9267 WKU
Feb 7, 2026 WKU 8070 FIU
Mar 7, 2025 WKU 7667 FIU
Jan 4, 2025 FIU 8566 WKU
Mar 2, 2024 FIU 8583 WKU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WKU FIU
Overall 17-15 10-23
Conference 8-10 3-15
Home 13-5 7-8
Away 4-9 1-13
Neutral 0-1 2-2
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 73.3 67.9
Avg Pts Against 74.8 73.0
Massey 0.1 (#158) -5.6 (#255)
Bradley-Terry 0.41 (#134) -1.33 (#297)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.25 (#148) -1.38 (#274)
RPI 0.528 (#122) 0.405 (#338)
Shooting & Four Factors WKU FIU
FG% 41.8% 42.3%
3PT% 32.4% 28.8%
REB / G 36.9 34.2
OREB / G 9.0 11.2
AST / TO 1.01 0.83
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.3% 46.5%
TOV% 15.5% 19.9%
ORB% 23.1% 31.2%
FT Rate 23.2% 25.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.8% 52.3%
Opp TOV% 17.2% 20.7%
DRB% 72.0% 70.7%
Opp FT Rate 29.7% 27.6%

Game Analysis

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