Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | WKU -195 FIU +165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FIU +3 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | WKU -5.7 (-8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (-19.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WKU -5.2 (-8.2) | 138.1 (-13.1) | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WKU -4.8 (-7.8) | 139.5 (-14.5) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WKU -4.9 (-7.9) | 142.2 (-17.2) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WKU -5.1 (-8.1) | 138.1 (-13.1) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | FIU 92 – 67 WKU |
| Feb 7, 2026 | WKU 80 – 70 FIU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | WKU 76 – 67 FIU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | FIU 85 – 66 WKU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | FIU 85 – 83 WKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WKU | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 3-15 |
| Home | 13-5 | 7-8 |
| Away | 4-9 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 73.0 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#158) | -5.6 (#255) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#134) | -1.33 (#297) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#148) | -1.38 (#274) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#122) | 0.405 (#338) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WKU | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.7% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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