Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Over |
| Money | FIU +130 WKU -167 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FIU +2 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | WKU -5.0 (+7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.0 (+8.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WKU -4.1 (+6.1) | 154.1 (+13.9) | 30% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WKU -3.3 (+5.3) | 154.1 (+13.9) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WKU -4.8 (+6.8) | 157.3 (+10.7) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WKU -4.7 (+6.7) | 154.8 (+13.2) | 35% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | FIU 92 – 67 WKU |
| Feb 7, 2026 | WKU 80 – 70 FIU |
| Mar 12, 2025 | FIU 64 – 61 WKU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | WKU 76 – 67 FIU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | FIU 85 – 66 WKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FIU | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 8-8 |
| Home | 9-6 | 12-2 |
| Away | 1-12 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.2 | 74.7 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#288) | 1.4 (#147) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.29 (#300) | 0.33 (#141) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.27 (#284) | 0.48 (#140) |
| RPI | 0.420 (#322) | 0.516 (#144) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FIU | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.1% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.0% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 63.1% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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