Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | UNLV +130 GCU -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNLV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNLV +2 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | GCU -4.5 (+6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.4 (+5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -4.7 (+6.7) | 148.1 (+9.9) | 32% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | GCU -3.4 (+5.4) | 146.5 (+11.5) | 36% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | GCU -4.4 (+6.4) | 144.3 (+13.7) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -4.3 (+6.3) | 144.7 (+13.3) | 34% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | GCU 80 – 67 UNLV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNLV | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 13-7 |
| Home | 10-6 | 13-4 |
| Away | 7-7 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.6 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.3 | 68.7 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#145) | 8.7 (#70) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.20 (#146) | 1.68 (#63) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#143) | 2.09 (#63) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#150) | 0.554 (#72) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNLV | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 30.6% | 28.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.3% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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