Betting Lines
| Spread | UGA -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Under |
| Money | LSU +105 UGA -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +12 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | UGA -1.9 (-10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 172.9 (-18.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UGA -2.0 (-10.0) | 163.5 (-9.5) | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UGA -0.7 (-11.3) | 165.3 (-11.3) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -0.2 (-11.8) | 161.5 (-7.5) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -0.0 (-12.0) | 162.2 (-8.2) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2025 | UGA 81 – 62 LSU |
| Feb 28, 2024 | LSU 67 – 66 UGA |
| Jan 24, 2024 | UGA 68 – 66 LSU |
| Mar 9, 2023 | LSU 72 – 67 UGA |
| Feb 15, 2023 | UGA 65 – 63 LSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-8 | 14-4 |
| Away | 3-7 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 89.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 79.8 |
| Massey | 12.1 (#46) | 17.0 (#27) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.50 (#68) | 2.15 (#45) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.19 (#59) | 3.00 (#42) |
| RPI | 0.548 (#83) | 0.570 (#61) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 40.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 13.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 36.1% |
| FT Rate | 32.6% | 29.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 64.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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