Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Under |
| Money | UGA +130 LSU -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +5 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | LSU -1.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.8 (+4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -0.7 (-4.3) | 139.3 (-0.3) | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -1.7 (-3.3) | 137.7 (+1.3) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -1.0 (-4.0) | 139.7 (-0.7) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -0.6 (-4.4) | 141.4 (-2.4) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | UGA 83 – 71 LSU |
| Feb 6, 2025 | UGA 81 – 62 LSU |
| Feb 28, 2024 | LSU 67 – 66 UGA |
| Jan 24, 2024 | UGA 68 – 66 LSU |
| Feb 15, 2023 | UGA 65 – 63 LSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 2-16 |
| Home | 13-4 | 10-8 |
| Away | 1-10 | 0-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 70.7 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#163) | 1.4 (#144) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#115) | 0.36 (#137) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#108) | 0.36 (#146) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#165) | 0.482 (#208) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 29.1% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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