Betting Lines
| Spread | UGA -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | UGA -213 LSU +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +2 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | UGA -4.1 (-2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.1 (-16.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UGA -3.0 (-1.0) | 151.8 (-17.8) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -3.4 (-1.4) | 147.7 (-13.7) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -3.7 (-1.7) | 148.7 (-14.7) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UGA -3.7 (-1.7) | 150.4 (-16.4) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | UGA 83 – 71 LSU |
| Feb 6, 2025 | UGA 81 – 62 LSU |
| Feb 28, 2024 | LSU 67 – 66 UGA |
| Mar 9, 2023 | LSU 72 – 67 UGA |
| Feb 15, 2023 | UGA 65 – 63 LSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-17 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 9-9 |
| Home | 13-6 | 12-6 |
| Away | 6-6 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 76.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 75.0 |
| Massey | 6.8 (#87) | 6.4 (#91) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.97 (#40) | 1.17 (#88) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.23 (#53) | 1.75 (#75) |
| RPI | 0.599 (#35) | 0.536 (#118) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 30.9% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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