Betting Lines
| Spread | UGA -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | UGA -300 LSU +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +19 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | UGA -7.4 (+11.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.2 (+0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UGA -6.9 (+12.1) | 141.6 (+1.4) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UGA -7.0 (+12.0) | 143.5 (-0.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -7.2 (+11.8) | 141.5 (+1.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -6.5 (+12.5) | 142.2 (+0.8) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | UGA 83 – 71 LSU |
| Feb 28, 2024 | LSU 67 – 66 UGA |
| Jan 24, 2024 | UGA 68 – 66 LSU |
| Mar 9, 2023 | LSU 72 – 67 UGA |
| Feb 15, 2023 | UGA 65 – 63 LSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 3-15 |
| Home | 15-3 | 11-7 |
| Away | 3-7 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 73.6 |
| Massey | 13.8 (#33) | 9.6 (#64) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.69 (#30) | 1.60 (#62) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.57 (#26) | 1.94 (#63) |
| RPI | 0.602 (#34) | 0.536 (#110) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 36.8% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 28.8% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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