Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | LSU -250 UGA +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +1 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | LSU -3.8 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.2 (-20.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -3.7 (-2.7) | 153.9 (-20.9) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -3.1 (-2.1) | 152.6 (-19.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -3.5 (-2.5) | 151.6 (-18.6) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -3.6 (-2.6) | 152.9 (-19.9) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | UGA 83 – 71 LSU |
| Feb 6, 2025 | UGA 81 – 62 LSU |
| Jan 24, 2024 | UGA 68 – 66 LSU |
| Mar 9, 2023 | LSU 72 – 67 UGA |
| Feb 15, 2023 | UGA 65 – 63 LSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 20-17 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 6-12 |
| Home | 12-6 | 13-6 |
| Away | 3-7 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 74.7 |
| Massey | 6.7 (#86) | 6.2 (#91) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.15 (#91) | 1.26 (#81) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.42 (#94) | 1.47 (#88) |
| RPI | 0.536 (#115) | 0.545 (#96) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 29.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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