Betting Lines
| Spread | UGA -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | UGA -200 LSU +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +2 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | UGA -4.4 (-2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.9 (-6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UGA -3.9 (-1.9) | 140.9 (-12.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UGA -1.9 (+0.1) | 139.3 (-11.3) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -3.5 (-1.5) | 140.8 (-12.8) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -3.8 (-1.8) | 140.8 (-12.8) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | UGA 83 – 71 LSU |
| Feb 6, 2025 | UGA 81 – 62 LSU |
| Feb 28, 2024 | LSU 67 – 66 UGA |
| Jan 24, 2024 | UGA 68 – 66 LSU |
| Mar 9, 2023 | LSU 72 – 67 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 2-16 |
| Home | 13-4 | 10-8 |
| Away | 1-10 | 0-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 70.7 |
| Massey | 2.5 (#125) | 1.8 (#133) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.84 (#101) | 0.61 (#120) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.22 (#91) | 0.59 (#126) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#145) | 0.503 (#172) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.7% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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