Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | UTC -500 CIT +380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIT +7 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | UTC -8.6 (-15.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.9 (+7.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -6.1 (-13.1) | 138.9 (+10.1) | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -9.4 (-16.4) | 139.7 (+9.3) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -6.5 (-13.5) | 138.7 (+10.3) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -6.6 (-13.6) | 138.4 (+10.6) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | CIT 88 – 85 UTC |
| Feb 21, 2026 | UTC 93 – 72 CIT |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UTC 76 – 75 CIT |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UTC 81 – 68 CIT |
| Feb 24, 2024 | CIT 71 – 62 UTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTC | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 7-11 |
| Home | 7-8 | 7-8 |
| Away | 6-9 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 78.9 |
| Massey | -8.4 (#294) | -14.0 (#347) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.39 (#289) | -2.23 (#344) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.81 (#292) | -3.00 (#346) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#289) | 0.392 (#350) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTC | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 30.1 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 6.7 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 20.8% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 56.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 14.0% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.7% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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