Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | CIT +600 UTC -1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +13 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | UTC -9.4 (-3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (+7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -9.8 (-3.2) | 142.9 (+6.1) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -9.9 (-3.1) | 140.1 (+8.9) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -9.8 (-3.2) | 142.1 (+6.9) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -9.7 (-3.3) | 141.9 (+7.1) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | CIT 88 – 85 UTC |
| Feb 21, 2026 | UTC 93 – 72 CIT |
| Feb 7, 2026 | CIT 78 – 71 UTC |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UTC 76 – 75 CIT |
| Feb 24, 2024 | CIT 71 – 62 UTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIT | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-25 | 29-9 |
| Conference | 0-18 | 15-3 |
| Home | 5-12 | 14-3 |
| Away | 0-12 | 12-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L24 | W5 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.0 | 79.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -16.4 (#358) | -2.9 (#212) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.02 (#362) | -0.16 (#184) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.38 (#362) | -0.27 (#188) |
| RPI | 0.356 (#357) | 0.478 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIT | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 23.3% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 15.8% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.9% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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