Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | CIT +180 UTC -218 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +21 | 165 | Lost |
| Massey | UTC -2.9 (-18.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.2 (+22.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -2.1 (-18.9) | 141.6 (+23.4) | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -4.4 (-16.6) | 144.0 (+21.0) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -2.3 (-18.7) | 139.6 (+25.4) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -2.7 (-18.3) | 142.0 (+23.0) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | CIT 88 – 85 UTC |
| Feb 7, 2026 | CIT 78 – 71 UTC |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UTC 76 – 75 CIT |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UTC 81 – 68 CIT |
| Feb 24, 2024 | CIT 71 – 62 UTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIT | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 7-11 |
| Home | 7-8 | 7-8 |
| Away | 3-12 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.9 | 78.1 |
| Massey | -14.4 (#347) | -8.6 (#297) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.10 (#338) | -1.46 (#301) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.76 (#338) | -1.87 (#293) |
| RPI | 0.395 (#352) | 0.438 (#299) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIT | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 21.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.5% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 13.7% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 31.6% |
Game Analysis
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