Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | CIT +225 UTC -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIT +9 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | UTC -3.1 (+12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.0 (-9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -3.3 (+12.3) | 143.6 (-10.6) | 33% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -4.5 (+13.5) | 144.4 (-11.4) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -3.4 (+12.4) | 143.0 (-10.0) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -3.5 (+12.5) | 144.7 (-11.7) | 35% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | CIT 88 – 85 UTC |
| Feb 21, 2026 | UTC 93 – 72 CIT |
| Feb 7, 2026 | CIT 78 – 71 UTC |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UTC 76 – 75 CIT |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UTC 81 – 68 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIT | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 12-6 |
| Home | 7-7 | 12-4 |
| Away | 2-13 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 73.1 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#250) | 2.1 (#136) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.25 (#292) | 0.79 (#112) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.39 (#287) | 0.82 (#125) |
| RPI | 0.429 (#309) | 0.522 (#134) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIT | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 55.6% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.8% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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