Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | UTC -325 CIT +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIT +3 | 173 | Lost |
| Massey | UTC -6.4 (-9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.3 (+28.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -5.3 (-8.3) | 142.3 (+30.7) | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -6.5 (-9.5) | 142.6 (+30.4) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -4.9 (-7.9) | 141.9 (+31.1) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -5.7 (-8.7) | 142.3 (+30.7) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | UTC 93 – 72 CIT |
| Feb 7, 2026 | CIT 78 – 71 UTC |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UTC 76 – 75 CIT |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UTC 81 – 68 CIT |
| Feb 24, 2024 | CIT 71 – 62 UTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTC | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 7-11 |
| Home | 7-8 | 7-8 |
| Away | 6-9 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 78.9 |
| Massey | -8.3 (#295) | -14.6 (#349) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.43 (#295) | -2.00 (#336) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.79 (#292) | -2.72 (#339) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#279) | 0.405 (#353) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTC | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 31.1 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 6.9 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 21.7% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 57.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.2% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.8% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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