Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | BUCK +185 COLG -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUCK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +19 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | COLG -5.8 (-13.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.2 (-10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -3.9 (-15.1) | 142.5 (-5.5) | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -3.1 (-15.9) | 143.4 (-6.4) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -4.7 (-14.3) | 144.2 (-7.2) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -4.1 (-14.9) | 144.6 (-7.6) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | COLG 95 – 76 BUCK |
| Jan 21, 2025 | COLG 87 – 80 BUCK |
| Jan 5, 2025 | BUCK 66 – 60 COLG |
| Mar 10, 2024 | COLG 68 – 65 BUCK |
| Feb 17, 2024 | COLG 62 – 50 BUCK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUCK | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-23 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 11-7 |
| Home | 6-8 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-13 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 76.2 |
| Massey | -11.2 (#328) | -2.4 (#203) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.76 (#320) | -0.68 (#227) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.28 (#315) | -0.64 (#213) |
| RPI | 0.434 (#299) | 0.498 (#188) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUCK | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.6% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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