Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | COLG -800 BUCK +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +3 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | COLG -10.9 (-7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.0 (+3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -11.2 (-8.2) | 131.4 (+1.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -8.8 (-5.8) | 131.2 (+1.8) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -9.5 (-6.5) | 130.7 (+2.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -9.5 (-6.5) | 131.8 (+1.2) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | COLG 78 – 59 BUCK |
| Jan 17, 2026 | COLG 95 – 76 BUCK |
| Jan 21, 2025 | COLG 87 – 80 BUCK |
| Jan 5, 2025 | BUCK 66 – 60 COLG |
| Feb 17, 2024 | COLG 62 – 50 BUCK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLG | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-3 | 6-8 |
| Away | 10-5 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.9 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#137) | -5.7 (#271) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.35 (#138) | -1.43 (#305) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#151) | -1.65 (#300) |
| RPI | 0.560 (#67) | 0.468 (#251) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLG | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.5% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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