Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | COLG -360 BUCK +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +7 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | COLG -6.2 (+0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.1 (+28.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -5.3 (+1.7) | 137.3 (+29.7) | 72% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | COLG -6.8 (+0.2) | 139.0 (+28.0) | 77% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | COLG -5.3 (+1.7) | 137.6 (+29.4) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -5.1 (+1.9) | 137.1 (+29.9) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | COLG 78 – 59 BUCK |
| Jan 17, 2026 | COLG 95 – 76 BUCK |
| Jan 5, 2025 | BUCK 66 – 60 COLG |
| Mar 10, 2024 | COLG 68 – 65 BUCK |
| Feb 17, 2024 | COLG 62 – 50 BUCK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLG | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 13-5 |
| Home | 10-4 | 12-4 |
| Away | 4-13 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 73.2 |
| Massey | -2.9 (#215) | -5.7 (#259) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.91 (#254) | -0.89 (#252) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.00 (#242) | -1.10 (#246) |
| RPI | 0.455 (#250) | 0.457 (#248) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLG | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 22.9% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 14.5% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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