Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | COLG -900 BUCK +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +12 | 112 | Won |
| Massey | COLG -12.6 (-0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.6 (-22.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -11.8 (+0.2) | 133.5 (-21.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -13.2 (-1.2) | 132.7 (-20.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -12.1 (-0.1) | 134.1 (-22.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -11.2 (+0.8) | 135.0 (-23.0) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | COLG 78 – 59 BUCK |
| Jan 17, 2026 | COLG 95 – 76 BUCK |
| Jan 21, 2025 | COLG 87 – 80 BUCK |
| Jan 5, 2025 | BUCK 66 – 60 COLG |
| Mar 10, 2024 | COLG 68 – 65 BUCK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLG | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-3 | 6-8 |
| Away | 10-5 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.9 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#134) | -6.9 (#282) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.47 (#132) | -1.61 (#314) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#140) | -1.83 (#307) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#103) | 0.442 (#286) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLG | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 16.8% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.1% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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