Betting Lines
| Spread | BUCK -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | BUCK -145 COLG +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUCK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BUCK +6 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | BUCK -6.7 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.6 (-11.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUCK -3.7 (+2.3) | 139.2 (-13.2) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUCK -4.5 (+1.5) | 135.5 (-9.5) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BUCK -4.2 (+1.8) | 134.9 (-8.9) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUCK -3.4 (+2.6) | 135.5 (-9.5) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | COLG 78 – 59 BUCK |
| Jan 17, 2026 | COLG 95 – 76 BUCK |
| Jan 21, 2025 | COLG 87 – 80 BUCK |
| Mar 10, 2024 | COLG 68 – 65 BUCK |
| Feb 17, 2024 | COLG 62 – 50 BUCK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUCK | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-4 | 10-4 |
| Away | 6-10 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 72.7 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#240) | -6.8 (#282) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.13 (#270) | -1.66 (#309) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.27 (#262) | -1.95 (#299) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#248) | 0.416 (#319) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUCK | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 21.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 12.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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