Betting Lines
| Spread | NCSU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | NCSU -625 VT +455 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCSU +9 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | NCSU -11.1 (-2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.3 (-6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCSU -10.3 (-1.3) | 156.9 (-1.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCSU -9.1 (-0.1) | 158.0 (-3.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCSU -10.2 (-1.2) | 157.6 (-2.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NCSU -10.0 (-1.0) | 155.4 (-0.4) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2025 | VT 79 – 76 NCSU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | VT 84 – 78 NCSU |
| Mar 9, 2023 | NCSU 97 – 77 VT |
| Jan 8, 2023 | NCSU 73 – 69 VT |
| Jan 20, 2022 | VT 62 – 59 NCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCSU | VT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-6 | 14-3 |
| Away | 6-4 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.2 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 74.9 |
| Massey | 18.5 (#21) | 10.4 (#56) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.44 (#37) | 2.04 (#49) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.08 (#38) | 2.76 (#47) |
| RPI | 0.602 (#33) | 0.593 (#43) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCSU | VT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 40.1% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.77 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.0% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 13.5% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 66.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.