Betting Lines
| Spread | VT -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | VT -250 NCSU +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCSU +4 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | VT -2.6 (-6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (-4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VT -2.3 (-6.3) | 145.0 (-3.0) | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VT -4.1 (-8.1) | 142.6 (-0.6) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VT -2.9 (-6.9) | 144.1 (-2.1) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | VT -2.4 (-6.4) | 144.6 (-2.6) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | NCSU 82 – 73 VT |
| Jan 16, 2025 | VT 79 – 76 NCSU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | VT 84 – 78 NCSU |
| Mar 9, 2023 | NCSU 97 – 77 VT |
| Jan 20, 2022 | VT 62 – 59 NCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VT | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 12-8 |
| Home | 13-4 | 15-2 |
| Away | 2-10 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 70.8 |
| Massey | 9.3 (#53) | 10.9 (#35) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.73 (#52) | 1.93 (#40) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.41 (#45) | 2.53 (#40) |
| RPI | 0.592 (#42) | 0.580 (#55) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VT | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.3% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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