Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | CREI -125 HALL +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +1 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | CREI -0.2 (+0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.9 (+0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HALL -0.9 (+1.9) | 135.3 (+1.7) | 44% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -1.8 (-0.8) | 138.8 (-1.8) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -0.5 (+0.5) | 134.4 (+2.6) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HALL -0.3 (+1.3) | 134.9 (+2.1) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | HALL 72 – 61 CREI |
| Jan 4, 2026 | HALL 56 – 54 CREI |
| Mar 5, 2025 | CREI 79 – 61 HALL |
| Jan 25, 2025 | CREI 79 – 54 HALL |
| Feb 29, 2024 | CREI 85 – 64 HALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 10-10 |
| Home | 10-6 | 12-5 |
| Away | 4-8 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 65.3 |
| Massey | 8.0 (#77) | 10.8 (#52) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.26 (#75) | 1.96 (#53) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.63 (#78) | 2.54 (#54) |
| RPI | 0.556 (#70) | 0.577 (#57) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 37.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.8% | 22.3% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.6% | 31.0% |
Game Analysis
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