Virgil Cain is my name and I served on the Danville train. "The Night They Drove Old Dixie Down"-The Band
Big East Conference · CHI Health Center Omaha · February 29, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread CREI -9.5 Home covered
O/U 144.5 Over
Money CREI -500 / HALL +350
Model Predictions
Spread Total CREI win
Actual CREI +21 149 Won
Massey CREI -10.7 (+10.3)
Massey Totals 145.0 (+4.0)
Bradley-Terry 77%
Weighted B-T 83%
Baseline Plus ML CREI -10.9 (+10.1) 146.8 (+2.2) 83%
Model 4 ML CREI -10.3 (+10.7) 149.4 (-0.4) 83%
Model 3 ML CREI -10.9 (+10.1) 146.3 (+2.7) 83%
Baseline ML CREI -10.3 (+10.7) 146.0 (+3.0) 85%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 12, 2026 HALL 7261 CREI
Feb 7, 2026 CREI 6968 HALL
Jan 4, 2026 HALL 5654 CREI
Mar 5, 2025 CREI 7961 HALL
Jan 25, 2025 CREI 7954 HALL

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CREI HALL
Overall 25-10 25-12
Conference 14-6 13-7
Home 14-2 17-4
Away 8-4 5-6
Neutral 3-4 3-2
Last 5 4-1 4-1
Streak L1 W5
Avg Pts For 80.4 73.8
Avg Pts Against 69.9 69.9
Massey 16.8 (#13) 9.5 (#58)
Bradley-Terry 2.27 (#21) 1.70 (#52)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.02 (#18) 2.11 (#52)
RPI 0.600 (#26) 0.559 (#75)
Shooting & Four Factors CREI HALL
FG% 48.8% 45.2%
3PT% 36.2% 31.6%
REB / G 38.2 38.4
OREB / G 8.5 12.6
AST / TO 1.63 0.99
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 57.5% 49.9%
TOV% 15.2% 18.9%
ORB% 26.5% 36.7%
FT Rate 19.2% 25.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.0% 48.3%
Opp TOV% 11.1% 18.0%
DRB% 74.6% 71.0%
Opp FT Rate 12.6% 20.2%

Game Analysis

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