Betting Lines
| Spread | PRES -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | PRES -1600 GWEB +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRES +6 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | PRES -18.9 (-12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.5 (-15.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRES -12.8 (-6.8) | 140.8 (-10.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRES -14.6 (-8.6) | 141.9 (-11.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRES -15.5 (-9.5) | 142.4 (-12.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRES -16.0 (-10.0) | 139.6 (-9.6) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | PRES 92 – 55 GWEB |
| Mar 1, 2025 | PRES 68 – 57 GWEB |
| Jan 4, 2025 | GWEB 63 – 61 PRES |
| Mar 9, 2024 | GWEB 61 – 60 PRES |
| Feb 8, 2024 | PRES 77 – 75 GWEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRES | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 4-29 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 1-15 |
| Home | 10-4 | 3-10 |
| Away | 3-13 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.0 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 86.7 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#267) | -22.4 (#363) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.26 (#276) | -3.51 (#361) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.97 (#298) | -4.79 (#363) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#267) | 0.387 (#353) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRES | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 58.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 63.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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