Betting Lines
| Spread | PRES -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | PRES -175 GWEB +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRES +11 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | PRES -4.4 (+6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.1 (-21.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRES -2.8 (+8.2) | 142.2 (-17.2) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRES -4.2 (+6.8) | 144.7 (-19.7) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRES -3.7 (+7.3) | 145.3 (-20.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRES -4.5 (+6.5) | 143.9 (-18.9) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | PRES 68 – 62 GWEB |
| Jan 17, 2026 | PRES 92 – 55 GWEB |
| Jan 4, 2025 | GWEB 63 – 61 PRES |
| Mar 9, 2024 | GWEB 61 – 60 PRES |
| Feb 8, 2024 | PRES 77 – 75 GWEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRES | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 5-11 |
| Home | 8-5 | 5-6 |
| Away | 4-12 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 78.1 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#242) | -5.7 (#259) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.85 (#246) | -0.95 (#256) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.94 (#240) | -1.16 (#254) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#276) | 0.468 (#244) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRES | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.0% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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