Betting Lines
| Spread | GWEB -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | GWEB -250 PRES +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GWEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GWEB +1 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | GWEB -3.8 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.1 (-26.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GWEB -2.2 (-1.2) | 144.0 (-23.0) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GWEB -3.2 (-2.2) | 141.7 (-20.7) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GWEB -2.7 (-1.7) | 142.6 (-21.6) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GWEB -2.5 (-1.5) | 142.8 (-21.8) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | PRES 68 – 62 GWEB |
| Jan 17, 2026 | PRES 92 – 55 GWEB |
| Mar 1, 2025 | PRES 68 – 57 GWEB |
| Jan 4, 2025 | GWEB 63 – 61 PRES |
| Feb 8, 2024 | PRES 77 – 75 GWEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GWEB | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 6-10 |
| Home | 9-4 | 8-7 |
| Away | 6-8 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 74.6 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#201) | -6.0 (#273) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#170) | -1.17 (#289) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.36 (#201) | -1.31 (#285) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#117) | 0.416 (#327) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GWEB | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.9% | 31.7% |
Game Analysis
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