Betting Lines
| Spread | GWEB -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | GWEB -150 PRES +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GWEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GWEB +2 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | GWEB -4.8 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.8 (-24.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GWEB -3.3 (-1.3) | 144.2 (-20.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GWEB -3.0 (-1.0) | 144.8 (-20.8) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GWEB -2.9 (-0.9) | 146.8 (-22.8) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GWEB -2.5 (-0.5) | 146.3 (-22.3) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | PRES 68 – 62 GWEB |
| Jan 17, 2026 | PRES 92 – 55 GWEB |
| Mar 1, 2025 | PRES 68 – 57 GWEB |
| Mar 9, 2024 | GWEB 61 – 60 PRES |
| Feb 8, 2024 | PRES 77 – 75 GWEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GWEB | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 7-9 |
| Home | 5-6 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-13 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 72.9 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#202) | -3.2 (#221) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.79 (#245) | -0.66 (#232) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.00 (#242) | -0.94 (#235) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#213) | 0.453 (#261) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GWEB | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 22.9% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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