Betting Lines
| Spread | PRES -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | GWEB +310 PRES -395 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GWEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRES +37 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | PRES -8.2 (-28.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.7 (+3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRES -7.4 (-29.6) | 140.2 (+6.8) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRES -8.0 (-29.0) | 139.9 (+7.1) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRES -7.8 (-29.2) | 139.3 (+7.7) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRES -7.7 (-29.3) | 137.1 (+9.9) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | PRES 68 – 62 GWEB |
| Mar 1, 2025 | PRES 68 – 57 GWEB |
| Jan 4, 2025 | GWEB 63 – 61 PRES |
| Mar 9, 2024 | GWEB 61 – 60 PRES |
| Feb 8, 2024 | PRES 77 – 75 GWEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GWEB | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-29 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 1-15 | 7-9 |
| Home | 3-10 | 10-4 |
| Away | 0-16 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 86.7 | 73.1 |
| Massey | -20.3 (#363) | -8.7 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.19 (#363) | -1.32 (#282) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.59 (#363) | -2.14 (#305) |
| RPI | 0.402 (#337) | 0.428 (#298) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GWEB | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.6% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.4% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.9% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 63.1% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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