Betting Lines
| Spread | GWEB -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | PRES +180 GWEB -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRES +2 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | GWEB -2.5 (+4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.7 (+4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GWEB -2.4 (+4.4) | 148.7 (+3.3) | 40% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GWEB -3.6 (+5.6) | 146.9 (+5.1) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GWEB -2.4 (+4.4) | 146.2 (+5.8) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GWEB -2.7 (+4.7) | 146.6 (+5.4) | 42% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | PRES 68 – 62 GWEB |
| Jan 17, 2026 | PRES 92 – 55 GWEB |
| Mar 1, 2025 | PRES 68 – 57 GWEB |
| Jan 4, 2025 | GWEB 63 – 61 PRES |
| Mar 9, 2024 | GWEB 61 – 60 PRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRES | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 11-5 |
| Home | 8-7 | 9-4 |
| Away | 5-9 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.6 | 74.8 |
| Massey | -7.6 (#297) | -1.7 (#191) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.53 (#308) | -0.12 (#183) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.71 (#298) | -0.34 (#199) |
| RPI | 0.404 (#329) | 0.505 (#164) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRES | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.2% | 31.4% |
Game Analysis
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