Space travel's in my blood. "Another Girl, Another Planet" - The Only Ones
← All models

Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
87–41 on winners spread MAE 8.2 128 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Dayton @ VCU +9.5 148.4 83% 73–99 ✓
Brown @ Yale +19.3 141.0 89% 69–81 ✓
UConn @ St. John's +0.7 144.8 61% 72–81 ✓
Evansville @ Valparaiso +10.2 135.5 84% 63–70 ✓
Murray State @ Southern Illinois +1.1 154.9 53% 91–81 ✗
Drake @ Illinois State +11.2 141.9 84% 76–86 ✓
Bradley @ Northern Iowa +3.7 132.4 61% 49–61 ✓
Belmont @ UIC -2.2 147.4 42% 68–62 ✓
Nebraska @ Rutgers -13.5 140.7 14% 80–68 ✓
Syracuse @ Virginia +13.9 150.0 88% 59–72 ✓
Arkansas @ Mississippi State -7.5 159.1 27% 88–68 ✓
Louisville @ Wake Forest -9.2 156.2 25% 88–80 ✓
Temple @ East Carolina -4.3 141.9 36% 81–73 ✓
Lafayette @ Army +0.6 142.1 56% 63–60 ✗
Wisconsin @ Indiana +4.1 156.1 68% 77–78 ✓
Villanova @ Georgetown -4.0 139.4 38% 80–73 ✓
Virginia Tech @ NC State +10.3 156.9 81% 73–82 ✓
Drexel @ Elon +4.2 138.9 72% 82–77 ✗
Oregon @ Purdue +17.1 140.6 90% 64–68 ✓
Massachusetts @ Coastal Carolina -0.2 146.9 47% 91–94 ✗
Eastern Michigan @ App State +4.6 131.0 74% 60–65 ✓
Chicago State @ New Haven +3.8 126.3 52% 63–57 ✗
Loyola Maryland @ Boston University +4.6 149.9 73% 69–78 ✓
Wagner @ Central Connecticut +5.5 138.7 68% 67–84 ✓
Saint Francis @ Le Moyne +10.2 147.4 86% 84–86 ✓
East Tennessee State @ VMI -13.4 142.1 15% 87–70 ✓
Missouri @ South Carolina -1.6 150.4 46% 78–59 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Delaware -4.0 136.8 33% 88–89 ✗
New Hampshire @ Vermont +8.5 140.3 76% 57–80 ✓
Baylor @ Iowa State +15.2 155.3 89% 69–72 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Georgia State +4.9 136.9 66% 75–74 ✗
Richmond @ Rhode Island +4.4 140.7 70% 77–82 ✓
George Washington @ Duquesne -0.5 155.5 45% 86–88 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ Fordham +0.4 134.9 54% 70–67 ✗
North Texas @ UTSA -11.1 137.0 15% 81–58 ✓
Kansas State @ TCU +7.2 156.9 80% 82–84 ✓
Lehigh @ Holy Cross +0.8 140.2 55% 67–76 ✓
Longwood @ Winthrop +10.7 150.2 86% 74–79 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Presbyterian +16.0 139.6 90% 62–68 ✓
Charleston Southern @ South Carolina Upstate +1.0 149.8 53% 94–100 ✓
Butler @ Marquette -2.3 160.4 46% 55–70 ✗
SMU @ Pittsburgh -6.5 144.6 28% 86–67 ✓
Miami @ Boston College -7.4 138.1 23% 74–68 ✓
Cornell @ Columbia +5.3 162.1 61% 88–67 ✗
Denver @ North Dakota +0.9 157.4 57% 98–79 ✗
Omaha @ North Dakota State +10.5 146.9 84% 84–92 ✓
Cleveland State @ IU Indianapolis +0.1 165.3 57% 74–82 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Green Bay +4.6 150.5 70% 63–76 ✓
Siena @ Saint Peter's -0.2 134.5 45% 65–70 ✗
Niagara @ Quinnipiac +10.4 135.2 86% 55–56 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Manhattan -1.0 155.5 55% 68–80 ✗
Princeton @ Pennsylvania +5.2 142.8 72% 60–61 ✓
Campbell @ North Carolina A&T -0.4 152.7 48% 79–71 ✓
The Citadel @ Chattanooga +6.1 138.9 71% 78–71 ✗
Ole Miss @ Texas +11.7 145.8 82% 68–79 ✓
Jacksonville @ West Georgia -0.1 141.0 48% 73–87 ✗
Florida Gulf Coast @ Bellarmine +0.3 153.9 57% 65–81 ✓
Missouri State @ Liberty +11.3 141.0 84% 76–79 ✓
Utah @ Kansas +19.0 149.2 90% 59–71 ✓
William & Mary @ Hampton -4.3 146.3 30% 74–77 ✗
La Salle @ Saint Louis +22.9 146.1 91% 58–82 ✓
Western Michigan @ Texas State +3.0 145.4 67% 61–77 ✓
Kent State @ Southern Miss -1.8 152.7 39% 65–66 ✗
Ball State @ UL Monroe -1.6 139.6 34% 73–68 ✓
Bowling Green @ Arkansas State -0.4 148.1 51% 54–91 ✗
Florida International @ Western Kentucky +3.4 153.5 64% 70–80 ✓
Sam Houston @ Louisiana Tech -6.4 136.8 23% 78–87 ✗
Oklahoma @ Vanderbilt +15.6 161.9 87% 92–91 ✗
Mercyhurst @ Fairleigh Dickinson -0.9 132.4 41% 52–55 ✗
Oklahoma State @ Arizona +19.5 164.3 90% 47–84 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Marshall -0.7 158.3 37% 90–74 ✓
Buffalo @ South Alabama +1.3 142.0 61% 69–81 ✓
Central Michigan @ Louisiana -0.5 133.2 45% 80–85 ✗
Toledo @ James Madison -0.4 147.1 43% 71–73 ✗
Saint Joseph's @ George Mason +9.8 135.9 81% 52–60 ✓
UC Riverside @ Cal State Northridge +7.2 152.6 77% 74–88 ✓
DePaul @ Providence +5.1 154.7 66% 72–90 ✓
Florida State @ Notre Dame +4.3 151.1 68% 82–79 ✗
American University @ Navy +6.1 133.6 78% 73–82 ✓
Stonehill @ Long Island University +10.1 132.2 85% 54–61 ✓
Maine @ Bryant +1.9 126.6 53% 67–73 ✓
Binghamton @ NJIT +10.4 142.9 85% 64–73 ✓
Towson @ Hofstra +5.1 132.8 68% 49–71 ✓
Northeastern @ Stony Brook +6.0 148.9 77% 55–69 ✓
Western Carolina @ Wofford +7.1 154.5 80% 66–77 ✓
Alabama @ Auburn -0.6 167.1 54% 96–92 ✓
North Florida @ Queens University +12.4 166.2 88% 72–91 ✓
Morehead State @ UT Martin +10.6 133.4 85% 61–55 ✗
SIU Edwardsville @ Little Rock -1.6 130.1 44% 71–61 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Tennessee Tech +2.4 138.0 58% 60–54 ✗
UT Arlington @ Utah Valley +7.3 139.4 76% 60–81 ✓
South Carolina State @ Howard +13.7 139.4 88% 57–85 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Norfolk State +4.1 143.9 67% 68–75 ✓
Grand Canyon @ UNLV -4.7 148.1 32% 78–80 ✗
Robert Morris @ Youngstown State +3.3 146.2 64% 72–66 ✗
Houston Christian @ SE Louisiana +2.2 132.1 60% 47–55 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Nicholls +0.1 133.6 45% 83–76 ✗
Western Illinois @ Tennessee State +13.1 150.0 87% 56–83 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Morgan State -0.9 135.3 40% 71–79 ✗
Southern Indiana @ Southeast Missouri State +9.2 141.1 83% 65–90 ✓
Colgate @ Bucknell -4.7 144.2 40% 78–59 ✓
Milwaukee @ Northern Kentucky +6.5 152.1 77% 62–67 ✓
Harvard @ Dartmouth -0.4 141.2 45% 71–58 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC Davis +7.1 159.0 79% 58–67 ✓
Incarnate Word @ McNeese +15.1 141.2 88% 64–81 ✓
Stetson @ Eastern Kentucky +6.7 148.7 77% 88–100 ✓
North Alabama @ Austin Peay +12.9 144.6 88% 62–91 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Lipscomb +2.9 153.8 63% 86–78 ✗
Alabama State @ Grambling +4.9 142.3 72% 47–57 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Bethune-Cookman +8.8 154.1 82% 76–82 ✓
Delaware State @ Coppin State -2.9 132.9 29% 47–65 ✗
Gonzaga @ Oregon State -16.4 144.8 14% 81–61 ✓
Akron @ Troy -3.3 155.8 28% 69–79 ✗
Texas Southern @ Florida A&M +2.1 141.9 64% 62–57 ✗
Santa Clara @ Washington State -7.2 151.4 22% 96–92 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Southern +3.1 146.7 63% 68–81 ✓
Seton Hall @ Creighton -0.9 135.3 44% 68–69 ✗
South Dakota @ South Dakota State +8.3 156.8 80% 68–67 ✗
Mercer @ Samford -2.6 156.3 40% 49–69 ✗
Lamar @ Stephen F. Austin +11.3 136.8 85% 74–84 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ New Orleans +0.1 146.2 52% 95–76 ✗
Northwestern State @ East Texas A&M +1.0 140.0 59% 48–52 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Idaho State +0.7 148.7 50% 69–61 ✗
Idaho @ Montana +2.2 146.8 62% 68–73 ✓
Georgia @ LSU -2.0 163.5 43% 83–71 ✓
Jackson State @ Mississippi Valley State -5.5 140.8 25% 97–81 ✓
Duke @ North Carolina -5.3 143.4 30% 68–71 ✗
Alcorn State @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff +7.2 146.7 81% 77–84 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.