Oh workers can you stand it, oh tell me how you can? Will you be a lousy scab or will you be a man? "Which Side Are You On?" - Pete Seeger
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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34–14 on winners spread MAE 8.1 48 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
West Virginia @ Cincinnati +2.3 128.0 58% 59–54 ✗
Fairfield @ Sacred Heart -0.0 148.8 51% 92–87 ✓
Iona @ Siena +5.7 138.3 77% 72–79 ✓
Merrimack @ Mount St. Mary's -3.8 131.4 31% 87–70 ✓
Canisius @ Quinnipiac +11.4 137.7 86% 60–75 ✓
Rider @ Marist +14.5 134.4 87% 52–81 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Manhattan -5.4 142.1 33% 80–75 ✓
Chicago State @ Central Connecticut +7.5 136.6 71% 67–78 ✓
Saint Francis @ Mercyhurst +10.0 131.0 85% 89–98 ✓
New Haven @ Long Island University +10.5 132.3 85% 55–60 ✓
Le Moyne @ Wagner +0.2 141.0 50% 78–79 ✓
Stonehill @ Fairleigh Dickinson +0.5 129.2 46% 58–74 ✓
UMass Lowell @ NJIT +2.2 144.7 67% 56–81 ✓
Northeastern @ Hofstra +11.5 150.0 84% 63–80 ✓
Monmouth @ Stony Brook +2.8 139.3 67% 76–75 ✗
Drexel @ Campbell +0.3 137.0 54% 60–81 ✓
William & Mary @ UNC Wilmington +5.6 151.0 73% 85–78 ✗
North Carolina A&T @ Charleston +8.6 152.4 82% 62–78 ✓
Elon @ Hampton -2.1 143.1 43% 79–87 ✗
Mercer @ Chattanooga -7.4 150.9 22% 75–79 ✗
Stetson @ Bellarmine +4.9 148.5 70% 71–92 ✓
North Florida @ West Georgia +5.9 160.2 76% 81–73 ✗
Jacksonville @ Queens University +7.3 146.2 79% 84–93 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Eastern Kentucky -0.2 155.8 53% 74–76 ✗
Denver @ North Dakota State +13.3 155.0 86% 78–71 ✗
Omaha @ North Dakota +0.6 150.3 57% 73–76 ✓
The Citadel @ Samford +8.6 145.3 80% 64–78 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Utah Valley +13.8 142.0 87% 55–68 ✓
Lindenwood @ Little Rock -2.2 145.4 40% 79–74 ✓
Ohio State @ Maryland -9.4 152.0 21% 82–62 ✓
Western Illinois @ Tennessee Tech +7.3 144.6 80% 72–97 ✓
Southern Indiana @ UT Martin +10.2 130.2 81% 54–76 ✓
Morehead State @ Southeast Missouri State +5.1 142.5 75% 70–82 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Tennessee State +7.4 141.5 76% 68–77 ✓
Memphis @ UAB +0.7 150.1 59% 90–80 ✗
UC Santa Barbara @ UC Davis -0.8 148.8 45% 75–85 ✗
Northern Colorado @ Weber State +1.1 160.7 63% 88–74 ✗
Northern Arizona @ Idaho State +9.0 140.8 78% 79–73 ✗
Idaho @ Montana State +4.1 144.9 72% 66–73 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Montana +7.7 149.4 78% 82–74 ✗
UT Arlington @ Utah Tech +0.3 136.1 46% 84–87 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Western Kentucky +4.5 136.1 69% 71–66 ✗
UC Riverside @ Cal State Fullerton +6.7 150.4 77% 72–78 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Cal Poly -0.1 165.2 56% 97–96 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Irvine +14.0 145.7 88% 62–78 ✓
Long Beach State @ UC San Diego +10.3 143.1 84% 74–77 ✓
Tarleton State @ California Baptist +7.9 145.0 81% 55–56 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Davidson +13.0 136.8 87% 64–84 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.