Betting Lines
| Spread | LEM -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | WAG -102 LEM -118 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAG +1 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | WAG -0.5 (+0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.7 (+5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEM -0.1 (+1.1) | 139.7 (+17.3) | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAG -0.7 (+0.3) | 140.8 (+16.2) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAG -0.2 (+0.8) | 141.0 (+16.0) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LEM -0.3 (+1.3) | 140.6 (+16.4) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | LEM 69 – 67 WAG |
| Feb 14, 2025 | LEM 72 – 68 WAG |
| Feb 1, 2025 | WAG 73 – 61 LEM |
| Mar 1, 2024 | LEM 70 – 56 WAG |
| Feb 2, 2024 | WAG 80 – 57 LEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAG | LEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 6-12 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 73.9 |
| Massey | -9.9 (#307) | -7.4 (#277) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.78 (#353) | -1.38 (#289) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.42 (#350) | -1.98 (#300) |
| RPI | 0.378 (#355) | 0.430 (#307) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAG | LEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 38.3% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.8% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.