Betting Lines
| Spread | LEM -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | LEM -110 WAG +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEM +14 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | LEM -2.5 (+11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.8 (-3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEM -1.4 (+12.6) | 129.3 (-3.3) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEM -2.5 (+11.5) | 129.9 (-3.9) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEM -1.4 (+12.6) | 131.0 (-5.0) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LEM -1.6 (+12.4) | 130.4 (-4.4) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | WAG 79 – 78 LEM |
| Jan 24, 2026 | LEM 69 – 67 WAG |
| Feb 14, 2025 | LEM 72 – 68 WAG |
| Feb 1, 2025 | WAG 73 – 61 LEM |
| Feb 2, 2024 | WAG 80 – 57 LEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEM | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 7-9 |
| Home | 10-3 | 7-5 |
| Away | 5-14 | 9-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.0 | 62.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 64.1 |
| Massey | -8.5 (#307) | -7.7 (#298) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.72 (#318) | -1.40 (#304) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.20 (#323) | -2.01 (#316) |
| RPI | 0.420 (#322) | 0.443 (#290) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEM | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 38.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 44.9% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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