Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSD -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | UCSD -750 LBSU +525 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSD +3 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | UCSD -11.1 (-8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.3 (+3.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSD -10.3 (-7.3) | 143.1 (+7.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSD -12.7 (-9.7) | 141.8 (+9.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSD -9.6 (-6.6) | 140.1 (+10.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSD -9.8 (-6.8) | 141.1 (+9.9) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2025 | UCSD 80 – 74 LBSU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UCSD 70 – 63 LBSU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UCSD 80 – 54 LBSU |
| Feb 4, 2024 | LBSU 85 – 76 UCSD |
| Jan 12, 2024 | UCSD 88 – 74 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSD | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 6-14 |
| Home | 10-5 | 7-9 |
| Away | 8-5 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 79.0 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#123) | -5.0 (#241) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#122) | -1.11 (#268) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#117) | -1.15 (#249) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#120) | 0.431 (#303) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSD | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 32.2% |
Game Analysis
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