Everybody know I'm a motherfucking monster. "Monster" - Kanye West
Big West Conference · Gold Mine Gym · January 17, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread UCSD -14.5 Away covered
O/U 136.5 Under
Money LBSU +1200 / UCSD -3000
Model Predictions
Spread Total LBSU win
Actual UCSD +26 134 Lost
Massey UCSD -14.7 (-11.3) — —
Massey Totals — 135.5 (-1.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 10% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 12% ✓
Baseline Plus ML UCSD -14.7 (-11.3) 139.0 (-5.0) 13% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UCSD -14.5 (-11.5) 137.5 (-3.5) 15% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML UCSD -14.4 (-11.6) 138.1 (-4.1) 13% ✓
Baseline ML UCSD -14.0 (-12.0) 138.6 (-4.6) 14% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 6, 2026 UCSD 77 – 74 LBSU
Dec 7, 2025 UCSD 80 – 74 LBSU
Mar 7, 2025 UCSD 70 – 63 LBSU
Feb 4, 2024 LBSU 85 – 76 UCSD
Jan 12, 2024 UCSD 88 – 74 LBSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings LBSU UCSD
Overall 7-25 30-5
Conference 3-17 18-2
Home 3-11 13-2
Away 4-11 12-2
Neutral 0-3 5-1
Last 5 3-2 4-1
Streak L15 L1
Avg Pts For 65.9 77.5
Avg Pts Against 75.6 63.0
Massey -8.1 (#298) 10.4 (#54)
Bradley-Terry -0.91 (#252) 1.97 (#50)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.03 (#244) 1.77 (#73)
RPI 0.448 (#269) 0.564 (#65)
Shooting & Four Factors LBSU UCSD
FG% 43.7% 45.0%
3PT% 36.8% 33.8%
REB / G 30.5 32.1
OREB / G 8.5 8.9
AST / TO 0.79 1.43
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.3% 53.3%
TOV% 21.1% 14.3%
ORB% 27.0% 25.8%
FT Rate 25.8% 27.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.3% 51.3%
Opp TOV% 16.9% 24.4%
DRB% 62.9% 73.2%
Opp FT Rate 26.0% 22.6%

Game Analysis

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