Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSD -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | LBSU +1200 UCSD -3000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSD +26 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | UCSD -14.7 (-11.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.5 (-1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSD -14.5 (-11.5) | 137.5 (-3.5) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSD -14.4 (-11.6) | 138.1 (-4.1) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSD -14.0 (-12.0) | 138.6 (-4.6) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSD -14.7 (-11.3) | 139.0 (-5.0) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | UCSD 77 – 74 LBSU |
| Dec 7, 2025 | UCSD 80 – 74 LBSU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UCSD 70 – 63 LBSU |
| Feb 4, 2024 | LBSU 85 – 76 UCSD |
| Jan 12, 2024 | UCSD 88 – 74 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 30-5 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 18-2 |
| Home | 3-11 | 13-2 |
| Away | 4-11 | 12-2 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L15 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.9 | 77.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 63.0 |
| Massey | -8.1 (#298) | 10.4 (#54) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.91 (#252) | 1.97 (#50) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.03 (#244) | 1.77 (#73) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#269) | 0.564 (#65) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 24.4% |
| DRB% | 62.9% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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