Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSD -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | LBSU +340 UCSD -440 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSD +6 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | UCSD -11.5 (+5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.8 (-0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSD -10.3 (+4.3) | 145.7 (+8.3) | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSD -10.4 (+4.4) | 145.7 (+8.3) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSD -9.5 (+3.5) | 147.3 (+6.7) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSD -10.0 (+4.0) | 147.9 (+6.1) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | UCSD 77 – 74 LBSU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UCSD 70 – 63 LBSU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UCSD 80 – 54 LBSU |
| Feb 4, 2024 | LBSU 85 – 76 UCSD |
| Jan 12, 2024 | UCSD 88 – 74 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 12-8 |
| Home | 7-9 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-13 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.0 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#284) | 8.8 (#71) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.03 (#317) | 2.21 (#41) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.44 (#305) | 2.79 (#58) |
| RPI | 0.390 (#326) | 0.658 (#15) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 50.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 40.6% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 59.8% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 13.8% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 23.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.9% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.6% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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