Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSD -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | UCSD -163 LBSU +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSD +14 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | UCSD -6.4 (+7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.4 (+9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSD -5.8 (+8.2) | 151.2 (+10.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSD -4.1 (+9.9) | 150.2 (+11.8) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSD -5.7 (+8.3) | 148.3 (+13.7) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSD -5.9 (+8.1) | 150.4 (+11.6) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | UCSD 77 – 74 LBSU |
| Dec 7, 2025 | UCSD 80 – 74 LBSU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UCSD 70 – 63 LBSU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UCSD 80 – 54 LBSU |
| Feb 4, 2024 | LBSU 85 – 76 UCSD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSD | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 10-10 |
| Home | 14-2 | 8-5 |
| Away | 7-7 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 76.2 |
| Massey | 2.9 (#125) | 0.5 (#162) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#175) | 0.69 (#118) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#159) | 0.60 (#135) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#189) | 0.515 (#149) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSD | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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