Betting Lines
| Spread | LBSU -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | LBSU +110 UCSD +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LBSU +9 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | UCSD -2.3 (+11.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.3 (+8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSD -2.5 (+11.5) | 145.4 (+15.6) | 37% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSD -1.3 (+10.3) | 144.3 (+16.7) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSD -2.1 (+11.1) | 144.9 (+16.1) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCSD -2.6 (+11.6) | 145.2 (+15.8) | 39% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | UCSD 77 – 74 LBSU |
| Dec 7, 2025 | UCSD 80 – 74 LBSU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UCSD 70 – 63 LBSU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UCSD 80 – 54 LBSU |
| Jan 12, 2024 | UCSD 88 – 74 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 15-5 |
| Home | 8-5 | 14-2 |
| Away | 9-7 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#174) | 5.2 (#100) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#161) | 0.54 (#127) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#164) | 0.85 (#115) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#168) | 0.521 (#136) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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