Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSD -23.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | UCSD -10000 LBSU +2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSD +7 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | UCSD -25.8 (-18.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.4 (-4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSD -24.6 (-17.6) | 138.6 (-5.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSD -19.6 (-12.6) | 141.3 (-8.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSD -21.4 (-14.4) | 140.4 (-7.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSD -23.9 (-16.9) | 140.1 (-7.1) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | UCSD 77 – 74 LBSU |
| Dec 7, 2025 | UCSD 80 – 74 LBSU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UCSD 80 – 54 LBSU |
| Feb 4, 2024 | LBSU 85 – 76 UCSD |
| Jan 12, 2024 | UCSD 88 – 74 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSD | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-5 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 3-17 |
| Home | 13-2 | 3-11 |
| Away | 12-2 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L15 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.5 | 65.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.0 | 75.6 |
| Massey | 13.4 (#38) | -9.1 (#314) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.36 (#38) | -1.83 (#327) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.50 (#51) | -1.93 (#306) |
| RPI | 0.577 (#50) | 0.420 (#323) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSD | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.67 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 13.4% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.6% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 64.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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